An Answer Page for Exercise 22

Exercise 22

Can you make a pass line bet after the shooter has established a point ?

 

Yes,   you can but you shouldn't.   You should make a come bet instead.

If the point is 4 or 10,   then your probability of winning would only be
3 / ( 3+6 )   =   1 / 3.   But a come bet would have the same probability
of winning as a "proper" pass line bet   ( viz. 244 / 495     0.493 ).

If the point is 5 or 9,   then your probability of winning would only be   0.40.

And if the point is 6 or 8,   then your probability of winning would only be 5 / 11     0.45